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Andrew Ogletree

Andrew Ogletree Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 12

Kansas City Chiefs vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Andrew Ogletree Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+4500/-9500).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -8250 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -9500.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A throwing game script is indicated by the Colts being a -3.5-point underdog in this week's game.
  • When talking about pass-blocking (and the positive effect it has on all air attack metrics), the O-line of the Indianapolis Colts ranks as the best in the league this year.
  • Opposing teams have completed passes at the highest level in the league vs. the Chiefs defense this year (77.4% Adjusted Completion%).
  • The Kansas City Chiefs linebackers profile as the best unit in the league this year in regard to defending the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Indianapolis Colts to be the 5th-most run-focused team in the NFL near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 49.1% red zone run rate.
  • The projections expect this game to have the 5th-smallest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 128.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 30.3 pass attempts per game against the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year: 7th-fewest in the league.
  • With a bottom-tier 0.0% Red Zone Target% (1st percentile) this year, Andrew Ogletree rates among the TEs with the highest volume near the goal line in the NFL.
  • Andrew Ogletree has compiled far fewer air yards this year (0.0 per game) than he did last year (9.0 per game).

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