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The Colts are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a rushing game script.The predictive model expects the Colts to be the 4th-most run-heavy team in the league near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 48.3% red zone run rate.Opposing offenses teams have been reluctant to rely on the passing game too much against the Falcons, totaling the fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 27.4 per game) this year.Andrew Ogletree has been has not been looked to very often his team's pass game near the goal line, earning a Red Zone Target Share of just 0.0% this year, which puts him in the 1st percentile when it comes to TEs.Andrew Ogletree has totaled quite a few less air yards this year (1.0 per game) than he did last year (9.0 per game).
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