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Andrei Iosivas

Andrei Iosivas Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 17

Cincinnati Bengals vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Andrei Iosivas Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+410/-630).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -455 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -630.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the Bengals to be the 5th-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 61.5% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • At the moment, the most pass-centric team in the league near the end zone (64.7% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Cincinnati Bengals.
  • Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Bengals are projected by our trusted projection set to run 67.2 plays on offense in this contest: the 3rd-highest number among all teams this week.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's spread suggests an extreme rushing game script for the Bengals, who are a massive favorite by 7 points.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being predicted in this game) usually mean decreased passing effectiveness, lower pass volume, and increased run volume.
  • The Cincinnati O-line grades out as the 7th-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.
  • The Cardinals pass defense has given up the 6th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (62.4%) vs. WRs this year (62.4%).
  • The Cardinals defense has allowed the 8th-fewest TDs through the air in the NFL to wide receivers: 0.73 per game this year.

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