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Amon-Ra St. Brown

Amon-Ra St. Brown Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 7

Detroit Lions vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Amon-Ra St. Brown Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-152/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -102 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -152.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Amon-Ra St. Brown's 89.7% Adjusted Completion% this year reflects a meaningful growth in his receiving proficiency over last year's 83.6% rate.
  • Amon-Ra St. Brown grades out in the 99th percentile among WRs when it comes to catching touchdowns this year, averaging an outstanding 0.86 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's line indicates a rushing game script for the Lions, who are favored by 6 points.
  • Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Detroit Lions to pass on 57.1% of their plays: the 6th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Lions to be the 6th-most run-centric offense in the NFL near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 47.1% red zone run rate.
  • The leading projections forecast this game to have the fewest plays run among all games this week at 124.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Lions are willing to include receivers in their rushing attack, and Amon-Ra St. Brown has received 2.6% of red zone rush attempts this year (0th among WRs).

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