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Amon-Ra St. Brown Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 6

Kansas City Chiefs vs Detroit Lions

Amon-Ra St. Brown Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+116/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -128 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With an elite 35.7% Red Zone Target Rate (98th percentile) this year, Amon-Ra St. Brown ranks as one of the wide receivers with the highest volume near the end zone in the NFL.

Amon-Ra St. Brown ranks in the 84th percentile among wideouts this year with a colossal 31.6% of his team's air yards accumulated.

Amon-Ra St. Brown's ball-catching skills have improved this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate jumping from 83.6% to 89.7%.

With a remarkable rate of 0.86 per game through the air (99th percentile), Amon-Ra St. Brown has been among the leading receiving TD-scorers in football when it comes to wideouts this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Lions to be the 6th-most run-centric offense in the NFL near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 46.7% red zone run rate.

At the moment, the most sluggish paced offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Lions.

Opposing offenses teams have been afraid to rely on the passing game too much against the Chiefs, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 31.2 per game) this year.

The Lions are willing to include receivers in their rushing attack, and Amon-Ra St. Brown has been given 2.9% of red zone rush attempts this year (0th among WRs).

When talking about pocket protection (and the impact it has on all passing attack statistics), the O-line of the Lions profiles as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year.

More Amon-Ra St. Brown Player Props

Amon-Ra St. Brown TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 6

Kansas City Chiefs vs Detroit Lions

Amon-Ra St. Brown Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 6