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Amon-Ra St. Brown

Amon-Ra St. Brown Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 6

Kansas City Chiefs vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Amon-Ra St. Brown Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+108/-132).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -128 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -132.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Amon-Ra St. Brown ranks in the 84th percentile among wideouts this year with a colossal 31.6% of his team's air yards accumulated.
  • Amon-Ra St. Brown's ball-catching skills have improved this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate jumping from 83.6% to 89.7%.
  • With a remarkable rate of 0.86 per game through the air (99th percentile), Amon-Ra St. Brown has been among the leading receiving TD-scorers in football when it comes to wideouts this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Lions to be the 6th-most run-centric offense in the NFL near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 46.6% red zone run rate.
  • At the moment, the most sluggish paced offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Lions.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been afraid to rely on the passing game too much against the Chiefs, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 31.2 per game) this year.
  • The Lions are willing to include receivers in their rushing attack, and Amon-Ra St. Brown has been given 2.9% of red zone rush attempts this year (0th among WRs).
  • While Amon-Ra St. Brown has garnered 35.7% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be much less involved in Detroit's pass game near the goal line in this game at 30.6%.

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