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Amon-Ra St. Brown

Amon-Ra St. Brown Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 5

Cincinnati Bengals vs Detroit Lions

Amon-Ra St. Brown Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-105/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +102 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Opposing teams have averaged 39.2 pass attempts per game against the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year: 8th-most in the league.

As it relates to air yards, Amon-Ra St. Brown ranks in the lofty 75th percentile among wide receivers this year, totaling a monstrous 64.0 per game.

Amon-Ra St. Brown's sure-handedness have improved this year, with his Adjusted Catch% rising from 83.6% to 90.2%.

Amon-Ra St. Brown ranks in the 100th percentile among wide receivers as it relates to catching touchdowns this year, averaging an exceptional 1.20 per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's line suggests an extreme running game script for the Lions, who are a massive favorite by 10 points.

Our trusted projections expect the Detroit Lions to be the 3rd-least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 53.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect the Lions to be the 10th-most run-centric team in the league near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 45.5% red zone run rate.

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 3rd-smallest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 125.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Amon-Ra St. Brown, who has earned 4.2% of his team's rush attempts near the end zone this year (96th percentile), is fortunate to be in the unique position (for a wideout) of being involved in the Detroit Lions red zone running game.

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