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Amon-Ra St. Brown Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 17

Minnesota Vikings vs Detroit Lions

Amon-Ra St. Brown Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+115/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Lions are expected by the model to run 66.4 offensive plays in this contest: the 6th-highest number on the slate this week.

The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may slide.

With an elite 39.2% Red Zone Target Rate (100th percentile) this year, Amon-Ra St. Brown places as one of the wide receivers with the biggest workloads near the goal line in the league.

Amon-Ra St. Brown has put up quite a few more air yards this year (83.0 per game) than he did last year (68.0 per game).

Amon-Ra St. Brown's 73.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit higher this season than it was last season at 62.4.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Lions are a 6-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.

Opposing offenses have averaged 29.4 pass attempts per game versus the Vikings defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the NFL.

The Lions O-line profiles as the 9th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all air attack statistics across the board.

Amon-Ra St. Brown's possession skills have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Catch% decreasing from 83.6% to 71.9%.

This year, the stout Vikings defense has surrendered a puny 67.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 9th-lowest rate in the league.

More Amon-Ra St. Brown Player Props

Amon-Ra St. Brown TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 17

Minnesota Vikings vs Detroit Lions

Amon-Ra St. Brown Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 17