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With a 3-point advantage, the Lions are favored in this week's contest, implying more of a focus on running than their normal game plan.With a 54.0% rate of running the ball in the red zone (in a neutral context) this year, the 7th-most run-centric offense in the league in these situations has been the Lions.While Amon-Ra St. Brown has accounted for 42.6% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a much smaller part of Detroit's passing offense near the goal line in this game at 37.6%.Amon-Ra St. Brown's receiving reliability have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Catch% decreasing from 83.6% to 73.2%.When it comes to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Green Bay's collection of safeties has been outstanding this year, grading out as the best in football.
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