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Amon-Ra St. Brown Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 12

Detroit Lions vs New York Giants

Amon-Ra St. Brown Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-180/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Detroit Lions to run the 3rd-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.9 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.

The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.

After accumulating 68.0 air yards per game last season, Amon-Ra St. Brown has posted big gains this season, now boasting 80.0 per game.

Amon-Ra St. Brown's 74.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit higher this year than it was last year at 62.4.

With a stellar rate of 0.73 per game through the air (99th percentile), Amon-Ra St. Brown places among the top receiving touchdown-scorers in the NFL when it comes to wide receivers this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme rushing game script is indicated by the Lions being an enormous 14-point favorite in this week's game.

The model projects the Detroit Lions as the 8th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 55.2% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The predictive model expects the Detroit Lions to be the 10th-most run-oriented team in football near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 46.4% red zone run rate.

Our trusted projections expect Amon-Ra St. Brown to be much less involved in his team's passing attack near the goal line in this contest (36.4% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (41.9% in games he has played).

When talking about pocket protection (and the ramifications it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the Lions ranks as the 8th-worst in the league this year.

More Amon-Ra St. Brown Player Props

Amon-Ra St. Brown TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 12

Detroit Lions vs New York Giants

Amon-Ra St. Brown Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 12