reorder

Amon-Ra St. Brown Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 11

Philadelphia Eagles vs Detroit Lions

Amon-Ra St. Brown Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+128/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +127 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +128.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

After accruing 68.0 air yards per game last season, Amon-Ra St. Brown has posted big gains this season, currently boasting 73.0 per game.

Amon-Ra St. Brown's 72.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive usage) has been significantly better this season than it was last season at 62.4.

With an impressive ratio of 0.80 per game through the air (99th percentile), Amon-Ra St. Brown stands as one of the top receiving TD-scorers in the league among WRs this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Right now, the 8th-most run-focused team in football near the end zone (46.5% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Detroit Lions.

The projections expect the Lions to run the 4th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.8 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

The forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.

The projections expect Amon-Ra St. Brown to be a less important option in his team's pass game near the end zone in this week's game (35.2% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (41.5% in games he has played).

Amon-Ra St. Brown's sure-handedness have declined this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate decreasing from 83.6% to 80.5%.

More Amon-Ra St. Brown Player Props

Amon-Ra St. Brown TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 11

Philadelphia Eagles vs Detroit Lions

Amon-Ra St. Brown Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 11