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Amon-Ra St. Brown Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 10

Washington Commanders vs Detroit Lions

Amon-Ra St. Brown Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-122/+109).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +113 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +109.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

After averaging 68.0 air yards per game last year, Amon-Ra St. Brown has been rising this year, now sitting at 75.0 per game.

Amon-Ra St. Brown's 74.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been substantially higher this season than it was last season at 62.4.

Amon-Ra St. Brown comes in as one of the most reliable receivers in football, completing an excellent 82.4% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, ranking in the 96th percentile among WRs.

With an impressive rate of 0.70 per game through the air (98th percentile), Amon-Ra St. Brown places as one of the best receiving TD-scorers in football among wideouts this year.

This year, the anemic Washington Commanders pass defense has allowed a whopping 68.8% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing WRs: the 4th-worst rate in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's spread indicates an extreme running game script for the Lions, who are overwhelmingly favored by 8 points.

Our trusted projections expect the Detroit Lions as the 5th-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 53.2% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

At the present time, the 7th-most run-focused offense in football near the goal line (47.2% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Detroit Lions.

At the moment, the 3rd-slowest paced offense in football (context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Detroit Lions.

While Amon-Ra St. Brown has accounted for 43.8% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be much less involved in Detroit's pass game near the end zone in this game at 35.1%.

More Amon-Ra St. Brown Player Props

Amon-Ra St. Brown TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 10

Washington Commanders vs Detroit Lions

Amon-Ra St. Brown Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 10