My Account Log Out

reorder

Amon-Ra St. Brown

Amon-Ra St. Brown Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Detroit Lions vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Amon-Ra St. Brown Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

In this week's contest, Amon-Ra St. Brown is expected by the model to secure a spot in the 97th percentile among wide receivers with 9.8 targets.

With a high 31.1% Target Share (97th percentile) this year, Amon-Ra St. Brown has been as one of the WRs with the biggest workloads in football.

Amon-Ra St. Brown comes in as one of the top WRs in the NFL this year, averaging a terrific 6.4 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 99th percentile.

Amon-Ra St. Brown's 89.7% Adjusted Completion% this year reflects a meaningful growth in his receiving proficiency over last year's 83.6% rate.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's line indicates a rushing game script for the Lions, who are favored by 6 points.

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Detroit Lions to pass on 57.1% of their plays: the 6th-lowest clip on the slate this week.

The leading projections forecast this game to have the fewest plays run among all games this week at 124.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

When it comes to pass-blocking (and the importance it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the Detroit Lions ranks as the worst in the league this year.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has allowed the 9th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (63.1%) vs. WRs this year (63.1%).

More Amon-Ra St. Brown Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™