My Account Log Out

reorder

Amon-Ra St. Brown

Amon-Ra St. Brown Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Kansas City Chiefs vs Detroit Lions

Amon-Ra St. Brown Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-121/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In this week's game, Amon-Ra St. Brown is projected by the model to place in the 95th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 9.2 targets.

With an exceptional 29.6% Target% (97th percentile) this year, Amon-Ra St. Brown ranks as one of the wideouts with the most usage in the NFL.

Amon-Ra St. Brown's ball-catching skills have improved this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate jumping from 83.6% to 89.7%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Detroit Lions to be the 7th-least pass-heavy offense in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 58.5% pass rate.

At the moment, the most sluggish paced offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Lions.

Opposing offenses teams have been afraid to rely on the passing game too much against the Chiefs, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 31.2 per game) this year.

When talking about pocket protection (and the impact it has on all passing attack statistics), the O-line of the Lions profiles as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year.

Amon-Ra St. Brown's play as a receiver has worsened this season, averaging just 5.1 adjusted receptions vs 6.8 last season.

More Amon-Ra St. Brown Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™