My Account Log Out
 
 
Amon-Ra St. Brown

Amon-Ra St. Brown Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

Cincinnati Bengals vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Amon-Ra St. Brown Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-110/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Opposing teams have averaged 39.2 pass attempts per game against the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year: 8th-most in the league.
  • Amon-Ra St. Brown has run a route on 95.6% of his offense's passing plays this year, putting him in the 95th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
  • The predictive model expects Amon-Ra St. Brown to accrue 8.5 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 89th percentile when it comes to WRs.
  • Amon-Ra St. Brown's sure-handedness have improved this year, with his Adjusted Catch% rising from 83.6% to 90.2%.
  • When it comes to linebackers in defending receivers, Cincinnati's LB corps has been dreadful this year, projecting as the 8th-worst in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's line suggests an extreme running game script for the Lions, who are a massive favorite by 10 points.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Detroit Lions to be the 3rd-least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 53.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 3rd-smallest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 125.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Amon-Ra St. Brown's pass-catching performance worsened this season, notching a measly 5.6 adjusted catches vs 6.8 last season.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™