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Amon-Ra St. Brown

Amon-Ra St. Brown Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

Baltimore Ravens vs Detroit Lions

Amon-Ra St. Brown Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-138/+104).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Lions are a 5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.

The leading projections forecast the Detroit Lions as the 6th-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 60.1% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The 6th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Lions since the start of last season (a massive 59.3 per game on average).

The Baltimore Ravens defense has been a notorious pass funnel since the start of last season, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the most passes in the league (38.8 per game) since the start of last season.

In this week's game, Amon-Ra St. Brown is anticipated by the projection model to secure a spot in the 91st percentile when it comes to wideouts with 8.3 targets.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Lions to run the 11th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 63.5 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.

The Lions have played in the most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the league since the start of last season, which ought to mean lower pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced offense results when facing windier conditions in this week's contest.

The Baltimore Ravens pass defense has surrendered the 8th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (63.6%) versus wideouts since the start of last season (63.6%).

The Baltimore Ravens safeties rank as the 4th-best group of safeties in the NFL since the start of last season in pass coverage.

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