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Amon-Ra St. Brown

Amon-Ra St. Brown Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

Detroit Lions vs Chicago Bears

Amon-Ra St. Brown Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-142/+126).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -142.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

The predictive model expects Amon-Ra St. Brown to accrue 7.4 targets in this week's game, on balance, placing him in the 81st percentile among wideouts.

Amon-Ra St. Brown has been heavily involved in his team's passing attack, earning a Target Share of 26.2% since the start of last season, which ranks in the 92nd percentile when it comes to wideouts.

With a remarkable 6.6 adjusted receptions per game (97th percentile) since the start of last season, Amon-Ra St. Brown rates as one of the top wide receivers in the league in football.

Amon-Ra St. Brown profiles as one of the most sure-handed receivers in football, catching a remarkable 83.6% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, checking in at the 100th percentile among wideouts.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 6.5-point advantage, the Lions are favored in this week's contest, indicating more of an emphasis on rushing than their typical approach.

The model projects the Lions to be the 11th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 57.0% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

At the present time, the 5th-slowest paced team in football (context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Detroit Lions.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.9 pass attempts per game against the Bears defense since the start of last season: 6th-fewest in the league.

Since the start of last season, the imposing Chicago Bears defense has allowed a feeble 64.4% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wide receivers: the 10th-lowest rate in the league.

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