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Amon-Ra St. Brown Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Detroit Lions vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Amon-Ra St. Brown Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+115/-148).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ +115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is projected by the projections to see 134.9 offensive plays called: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 37.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 5th-most in the NFL.

This week, Amon-Ra St. Brown is predicted by our trusted projection set to position himself in the 99th percentile when it comes to WRs with 11.7 targets.

Amon-Ra St. Brown has been a more important option in his team's pass attack this season (33.3% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (27.1%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 7-point advantage, the Lions are a massive favorite this week, indicating much more of a focus on running than their usual approach.

The Lions have been the 10th-least pass-centric team in football (context-neutralized) this year with a 58.0% pass rate.

When talking about protecting the passer (and the importance it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Lions profiles as the 10th-worst in football this year.

Amon-Ra St. Brown's possession skills have tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate falling off from 83.6% to 73.7%.

When it comes to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, Pittsburgh's CB corps has been excellent this year, profiling as the 2nd-best in football.

More Amon-Ra St. Brown Player Props

Amon-Ra St. Brown ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 16

Detroit Lions vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Amon-Ra St. Brown Receptions
Player Prop Week 16