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Amon-Ra St. Brown

Amon-Ra St. Brown Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

Los Angeles Rams vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Amon-Ra St. Brown Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-131/+103).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ +108 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ +103.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Lions are a 5.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.
  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Lions to pass on 61.8% of their plays: the 4th-highest clip on the slate this week.
  • The predictive model expects the Detroit Lions to run the 5th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 67.8 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
  • The forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and reduced rush volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 36.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Los Angeles Rams defense this year: 8th-most in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Detroit offensive line ranks as the 10th-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all pass game stats across the board.
  • Amon-Ra St. Brown's 5.8 adjusted catches per game this season illustrates a substantial drop-off in his receiving proficiency over last season's 6.8 figure.
  • Amon-Ra St. Brown's ball-catching skills have diminished this year, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 83.6% to 72.6%.
  • The Rams safeties rank as the 3rd-best safety corps in football this year in pass coverage.

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