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Amon-Ra St. Brown Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Detroit Lions vs New York Giants

Amon-Ra St. Brown Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+145/-149).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ +131 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ +145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Detroit Lions to run the 3rd-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.9 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.

The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.

In this game, Amon-Ra St. Brown is expected by our trusted projection set to place in the 99th percentile among WRs with 10.7 targets.

Amon-Ra St. Brown's 74.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit higher this year than it was last year at 62.4.

Amon-Ra St. Brown ranks as one of the top wide receivers in the game this year, averaging a terrific 6.1 adjusted receptions per game while ranking in the 97th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme rushing game script is indicated by the Lions being an enormous 14-point favorite in this week's game.

The model projects the Detroit Lions as the 8th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 55.2% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

When talking about pocket protection (and the ramifications it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the Lions ranks as the 8th-worst in the league this year.

Amon-Ra St. Brown's 73.6% Adjusted Completion Rate this season shows a material decrease in his receiving ability over last season's 83.6% rate.

More Amon-Ra St. Brown Player Props

Amon-Ra St. Brown ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 12

Detroit Lions vs New York Giants

Amon-Ra St. Brown Receptions
Player Prop Week 12