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Amon-Ra St. Brown Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Philadelphia Eagles vs Detroit Lions

Amon-Ra St. Brown Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-175/+130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -155 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -175.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In this game, Amon-Ra St. Brown is expected by our trusted projection set to secure a spot in the 97th percentile among wide receivers with 10.0 targets.

Amon-Ra St. Brown's 72.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive usage) has been significantly better this season than it was last season at 62.4.

Amon-Ra St. Brown has been one of the best WRs in the NFL this year, averaging a fantastic 6.4 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 98th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Lions rank as the 6th-least pass-centric team in football (adjusted for context) this year with a 57.8% pass rate.

The projections expect the Lions to run the 4th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.8 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

The forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.

Amon-Ra St. Brown's sure-handedness have declined this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate decreasing from 83.6% to 80.5%.

This year, the stout Philadelphia Eagles defense has yielded a feeble 60.2% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wideouts: the 5th-smallest rate in the league.

More Amon-Ra St. Brown Player Props

Amon-Ra St. Brown ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 11

Philadelphia Eagles vs Detroit Lions

Amon-Ra St. Brown Receptions
Player Prop Week 11