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Amon-Ra St. Brown Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Washington Commanders vs Detroit Lions

Amon-Ra St. Brown Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast Amon-Ra St. Brown to earn 9.7 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 96th percentile among wideouts.

Amon-Ra St. Brown's 74.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been substantially higher this season than it was last season at 62.4.

With an exceptional 5.9 adjusted catches per game (99th percentile) this year, Amon-Ra St. Brown has been among the leading pass-catching WRs in the league.

Amon-Ra St. Brown comes in as one of the most reliable receivers in football, completing an excellent 82.4% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, ranking in the 96th percentile among WRs.

This year, the anemic Washington Commanders pass defense has allowed a whopping 68.8% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing WRs: the 4th-worst rate in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's spread indicates an extreme running game script for the Lions, who are overwhelmingly favored by 8 points.

Our trusted projections expect the Detroit Lions as the 5th-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 53.2% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

At the moment, the 3rd-slowest paced offense in football (context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Detroit Lions.

More Amon-Ra St. Brown Player Props

Amon-Ra St. Brown ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 10

Washington Commanders vs Detroit Lions

Amon-Ra St. Brown Receptions
Player Prop Week 10