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Amon-Ra St. Brown

Amon-Ra St. Brown Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions

Amon-Ra St. Brown Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+125/-129).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ +125 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ +125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The 6th-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Lions last year (a staggering 59.6 per game on average).

In this week's game, Amon-Ra St. Brown is projected by the projection model to secure a spot in the 86th percentile among WRs with 7.7 targets.

Amon-Ra St. Brown has been a key part of his team's passing offense, garnering a Target Share of 27.1% last year, which ranks in the 93rd percentile among WRs.

With a fantastic 6.8 adjusted catches per game (97th percentile) last year, Amon-Ra St. Brown ranks as one of the best pass-catching wide receivers in football.

With an impressive 83.6% Adjusted Catch% (100th percentile) last year, Amon-Ra St. Brown ranks among the most sure-handed receivers in the league among WRs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 125.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Detroit Lions have played in the most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL last year, which ought to result in reduced pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced pass game performance when facing windier conditions in this week's contest.

The Green Bay Packers safeties profile as the 2nd-best safety corps in the NFL last year in defending receivers.

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