Amon-Ra St. Brown Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Amon-Ra St. Brown

NFL · Player Props

Amon-Ra St. Brown

WR · Detroit Lions

Receptions

Detroit Lions vs Denver Broncos · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 12:36 AM UTC

Analysis

Amon-Ra St. Brown Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-135/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ +103 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Lions have called the 8th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 60.6 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
Amon-Ra St. Brown has run a route on 94.3% of his offense's passing plays this year, placing him in the 95th percentile when it comes to WRs.
The leading projections forecast Amon-Ra St. Brown to accumulate 9.4 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 94th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
The Detroit O-line grades out as the 4th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all air attack stats across the board.

Favors Under

The Lions are a 4.5-point favorite this week, indicating a running game script.
The leading projections forecast the Lions to be the 7th-least pass-oriented team in football (in a neutral context) right now with a 58.5% pass rate.
The projections expect this game to have the 2nd-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 124.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

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