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Amon-Ra St. Brown

Amon-Ra St. Brown Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers

Amon-Ra St. Brown Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The 6th-highest number of plays in football have been run by the Lions this year (a massive 60.9 per game on average).

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

In this week's game, Amon-Ra St. Brown is forecasted by our trusted projection set to position himself in the 97th percentile when it comes to WRs with 10.8 targets.

With an extraordinary 31.5% Target Rate (97th percentile) this year, Amon-Ra St. Brown has been among the WRs with the most usage in the NFL.

When it comes to pocket protection (and the strong effect it has on all pass game statistics), the offensive line of the Detroit Lions ranks as the 2nd-best in football this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme rushing game script is indicated by the Lions being a giant 8.5-point favorite in this week's contest.

Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 5th-fewest plays run on the slate this week at 127.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing offenses teams have been afraid to test the pass defense of the Green Bay Packers, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 33.4 per game) this year.

As it relates to cornerbacks in defending receivers, Green Bay's CB corps has been outstanding this year, projecting as the 5th-best in football.

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