My Account Log Out
 
 
Amon-Ra St. Brown

Amon-Ra St. Brown Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

Detroit Lions vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Amon-Ra St. Brown Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+120/-155).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -155.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Lions are a 5.5-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Amon-Ra St. Brown to earn 8.4 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 93rd percentile among wideouts.
  • Amon-Ra St. Brown has been a big part of his team's passing attack, garnering a Target Share of 22.1% since the start of last season, which puts him in the 84th percentile among WRs.
  • Amon-Ra St. Brown has been among the best WRs in the league since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 5.7 receptions per game while checking in at the 94th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions as the 4th-least pass-heavy offense in football (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 58.3% pass rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-least plays run among all games this week at 120.2 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles cornerbacks grade out as the best collection of CBs in football since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.
  • The Detroit Lions O-line has afforded their QB a mere 2.53 seconds before the pass (9th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a measly 2.40 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 7th-quickest in the NFL since the start of last season.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™