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Amon-Ra St. Brown

Amon-Ra St. Brown Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Kansas City Chiefs vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Amon-Ra St. Brown Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 69.5 (-111/-113).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 69.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 69.5 @ -111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • In this week's game, Amon-Ra St. Brown is projected by the model to place in the 95th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 9.2 targets.
  • With an exceptional 29.6% Target% (97th percentile) this year, Amon-Ra St. Brown ranks as one of the wideouts with the most usage in the NFL.
  • Amon-Ra St. Brown ranks in the 84th percentile among wideouts this year with a colossal 31.6% of his team's air yards accumulated.
  • Amon-Ra St. Brown's ball-catching skills have improved this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate jumping from 83.6% to 89.7%.
  • Amon-Ra St. Brown's 11.2 adjusted yards per target this season conveys a meaningful boost in his receiving ability over last season's 9.7 figure.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Detroit Lions to be the 7th-least pass-heavy offense in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 58.5% pass rate.
  • At the moment, the most sluggish paced offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Lions.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been afraid to rely on the passing game too much against the Chiefs, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 31.2 per game) this year.
  • When talking about pocket protection (and the impact it has on all passing attack statistics), the O-line of the Lions profiles as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year.
  • Amon-Ra St. Brown has totaled substantially fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (64.0) this season than he did last season (78.0).

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