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Amon-Ra St. Brown

Amon-Ra St. Brown Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Detroit Lions vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
Amon-Ra St. Brown Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 65.5 (-128/+106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 64.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 65.5 @ -128.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • The predictive model expects Amon-Ra St. Brown to accrue 7.4 targets in this week's game, on balance, placing him in the 81st percentile among wideouts.
  • Amon-Ra St. Brown has been heavily involved in his team's passing attack, earning a Target Share of 26.2% since the start of last season, which ranks in the 92nd percentile when it comes to wideouts.
  • Amon-Ra St. Brown has compiled a massive 66.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 78th percentile among WRs.
  • Amon-Ra St. Brown has been one of the leading wide receivers in the game since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 77.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 95th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 6.5-point advantage, the Lions are favored in this week's contest, indicating more of an emphasis on rushing than their typical approach.
  • The model projects the Lions to be the 11th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 57.0% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • At the present time, the 5th-slowest paced team in football (context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Detroit Lions.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.9 pass attempts per game against the Bears defense since the start of last season: 6th-fewest in the league.
  • Amon-Ra St. Brown is positioned as one of the worst WRs in the NFL at picking up extra yardage, averaging just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while grading out in the 1st percentile.

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