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Amon-Ra St. Brown

Amon-Ra St. Brown Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Washington Commanders vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Amon-Ra St. Brown Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 79.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 79.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 79.5 @ -145.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast Amon-Ra St. Brown to earn 9.7 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 96th percentile among wideouts.
  • After averaging 68.0 air yards per game last year, Amon-Ra St. Brown has been rising this year, now sitting at 75.0 per game.
  • Amon-Ra St. Brown's 74.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been substantially higher this season than it was last season at 62.4.
  • With a stellar 70.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (97th percentile) this year, Amon-Ra St. Brown places among the best pass-catching wide receivers in football.
  • Amon-Ra St. Brown comes in as one of the most reliable receivers in football, completing an excellent 82.4% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, ranking in the 96th percentile among WRs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread indicates an extreme running game script for the Lions, who are overwhelmingly favored by 8 points.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Detroit Lions as the 5th-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 53.2% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • At the moment, the 3rd-slowest paced offense in football (context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Detroit Lions.
  • Amon-Ra St. Brown's ability to generate extra yardage has tailed off this year, compiling a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 3.57 figure last year.

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