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Amon-Ra St. Brown

Amon-Ra St. Brown Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions

Amon-Ra St. Brown Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 64.5 (-114/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 64.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 64.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The 6th-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Lions last year (a staggering 59.6 per game on average).

In this week's game, Amon-Ra St. Brown is projected by the projection model to secure a spot in the 86th percentile among WRs with 7.7 targets.

Amon-Ra St. Brown has been a key part of his team's passing offense, garnering a Target Share of 27.1% last year, which ranks in the 93rd percentile among WRs.

Amon-Ra St. Brown has posted a whopping 68.0 air yards per game last year: 80th percentile among wideouts.

Amon-Ra St. Brown is positioned as one of the leading pass-catching WRs last year, averaging a terrific 78.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 94th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 125.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Detroit Lions have played in the most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL last year, which ought to result in reduced pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced pass game performance when facing windier conditions in this week's contest.

The Packers defense has allowed the 3rd-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 124.0) to wide receivers last year.

The Green Bay Packers pass defense has shown good efficiency against wide receivers last year, yielding 7.83 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 8th-fewest in the NFL.

The Green Bay Packers safeties profile as the 2nd-best safety corps in the NFL last year in defending receivers.

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