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Ameer Abdullah

Ameer Abdullah Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 9

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Ameer Abdullah Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+700/-900).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (3-mph wind) being projected in this game, while ground volume may slide.
  • The Steelers defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, allowing opposing teams to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the NFL (40.7 per game) this year.
  • Among all RBs this year, Ameer Abdullah ranks in the paltry 1st percentile for red zone rush attempts, comprising 0.0% of the workload in his team's rushing attack near the goal line.
  • As it relates to pass-blocking (and the positive impact it has on all air attack metrics), the offensive line of the Indianapolis Colts grades out as the best in the league this year.
  • With a remarkable 90.3% Adjusted Completion% (92nd percentile) since the start of last season, Ameer Abdullah rates as one of the most sure-handed receivers in the NFL when it comes to RBs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A rushing game script is suggested by the Colts being a 3-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • Right now, the 3rd-most run-focused team in football near the end zone (49.2% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Colts.
  • The Colts have run the 9th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a measly 53.2 plays per game.
  • Ameer Abdullah's 3.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably lower this year than it was last year at 14.4.
  • With a terrible rate of just 0.00 per game through the air (1st percentile), Ameer Abdullah stands as one of the weakest receiving TD-scorers in the league when it comes to running backs this year.

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