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Ameer Abdullah

Ameer Abdullah Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 8

Indianapolis Colts vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Ameer Abdullah Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+460/-560).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -390 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -560.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Indianapolis Colts are forecasted by our trusted projection set to call 66.1 plays on offense in this game: the 8th-most among all teams this week.
  • The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off.
  • Among all running backs this year, Ameer Abdullah ranks in the lowly 1st percentile for red zone rush attempts, comprising 0.0% of the usage in his offense's rushing attack near the end zone.
  • When it comes to air yards, Ameer Abdullah ranks in the towering 80th percentile among running backs since the start of last season, accruing a monstrous 1.0 per game. (as a result of being targeted behind the line of scrimmage, this is far more notable than it sounds since most RBs average negative air yards).
  • The Indianapolis Colts O-line profiles as the 3rd-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme running game script is implied by the Colts being an enormous 14.5-point favorite in this game.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Indianapolis Colts to be the 4th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 53.4% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Colts to be the 4th-most run-centric team in the league near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 50.1% red zone run rate.
  • The 9th-fewest plays in the league have been run by the Indianapolis Colts this year (a measly 54.1 per game on average).
  • Opposing teams have averaged 30.3 pass attempts per game versus the Tennessee Titans defense this year: 9th-fewest in the NFL.

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