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Ameer Abdullah

Ameer Abdullah Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 6

Indianapolis Colts vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Ameer Abdullah Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+2700/-4300).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -3900 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -4300.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Colts to run the 9th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.9 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 43.4 pass attempts per game against the Cardinals defense this year: most in football.
  • As it relates to pass-blocking (and the positive impact it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Indianapolis Colts profiles as the 3rd-best in the league this year.
  • The Cardinals defense has allowed the 3rd-most TDs through the air in the league to RBs: 0.40 per game this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread suggests a rushing game script for the Colts, who are favored by 6.5 points.
  • The projections expect the Indianapolis Colts as the 2nd-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 53.9% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Indianapolis Colts to be the 2nd-most run-centric team in the NFL near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 51.0% red zone run rate.
  • This year, the tough Arizona Cardinals defense has surrendered a feeble 78.5% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing RBs: the 8th-smallest rate in the league.
  • When it comes to the defensive ends' role in run defense, Arizona's collection of DEs has been terrible this year, profiling as the 4th-worst in the league. in the league.

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