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Ameer Abdullah

Ameer Abdullah Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 15

Seattle Seahawks vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Ameer Abdullah Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1300/-2800).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -2800 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -2800.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Indianapolis Colts will be forced to use backup QB Philip Rivers in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
  • At a -13-point disadvantage, the Colts are enormous underdogs in this week's contest, suggesting much more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their normal game plan.
  • The Seattle Seahawks defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, enticing opposing teams to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the league (39.0 per game) this year.
  • The Colts offensive line ranks as the best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.
  • This year, the imposing Seattle Seahawks run defense has conceded a mere 0.54 rushing TDs per game to the opposing side: the 3rd-smallest rate in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Right now, the 4th-most run-centric offense in the league near the end zone (49.2% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Colts.
  • The leading projections forecast the Colts to run the 4th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.4 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Colts have run the 9th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a mere 54.8 plays per game.
  • Ameer Abdullah's 4.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive usage) has been significantly lower this year than it was last year at 14.4.
  • The receiving touchdown field reads "0" on Ameer Abdullah's stats page this year.

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