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Ameer Abdullah

Ameer Abdullah Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 10

Indianapolis Colts vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Ameer Abdullah Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1200/-1250).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -1200 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1250.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Colts to call the 5th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 66.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Among all running backs this year, Ameer Abdullah ranks in the lowly 1st percentile for red zone rush attempts, accounting for 0.0% of the workload in his offense's ground game near the end zone.
  • The Indianapolis Colts O-line grades out as the best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all passing game statistics across the board.
  • With a stellar 90.5% Adjusted Catch Rate (92nd percentile) since the start of last season, Ameer Abdullah places as one of the most reliable receivers in football among RBs.
  • The Falcons defense has yielded the most receiving TDs in the league to running backs: 0.50 per game this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Colts are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a rushing game script.
  • The predictive model expects the Colts to be the 4th-most run-heavy team in the league near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 48.3% red zone run rate.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been reluctant to rely on the passing game too much against the Falcons, totaling the fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 27.4 per game) this year.
  • Ameer Abdullah's 3.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive volume) has been substantially lower this season than it was last season at 14.4.
  • The receiving touchdown line reads "0" on Ameer Abdullah's box scores this year.

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