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Ameer Abdullah

Ameer Abdullah Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Indianapolis Colts vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Ameer Abdullah Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-113/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -113.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • An extreme running game script is implied by the Colts being an enormous 14.5-point favorite in this game.
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Indianapolis Colts to run on 46.6% of their opportunities: the 4th-highest frequency among all teams this week.
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Indianapolis Colts are forecasted by our trusted projection set to call 66.1 plays on offense in this game: the 8th-most among all teams this week.
  • Ameer Abdullah's ground efficiency (4.79 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in the NFL since the start of last season (83rd percentile among running backs).
  • Opposing squads have rushed for the 2nd-most adjusted yards in the NFL (151 per game) against the Titans defense this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 9th-fewest plays in the league have been run by the Indianapolis Colts this year (a measly 54.1 per game on average).
  • The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off.
  • After accounting for 21.3% of his team's rushing play calls last season, Ameer Abdullah has been called on less the rushing attack this season, currently sitting at only 5.2%.

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