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Ameer Abdullah

Ameer Abdullah Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Indianapolis Colts vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Ameer Abdullah Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-122/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -122.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's spread suggests a passing game script for the Colts, who are -4-point underdogs.
  • The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 35.9 pass attempts per game against the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 10th-most in football.
  • The Indianapolis Colts offensive line ranks as the best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all pass attack stats across the board.
  • Ameer Abdullah's ball-catching skills have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Catch% rising from 89.8% to 93.3%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Colts to be the 10th-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 59.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to have the smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 125.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Colts this year (a measly 54.9 per game on average).
  • Ameer Abdullah's 11.9% Route% this season indicates a material drop-off in his pass attack volume over last season's 42.4% mark.
  • Ameer Abdullah's 8.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this season reflects a significant decline in his receiving proficiency over last season's 21.0 figure.

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