Ameer Abdullah Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

reorder

NFL · Player Props

Ameer Abdullah

RB · Las Vegas Raiders

Receiving Yards

Los Angeles Rams vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 9, 2022 1:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Ameer Abdullah Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+105/-135).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The weatherman calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Ameer Abdullah has been much less involved in his team's offense this season, staying on the field for just 15.0% of snaps vs 27.7% last season.
THE BLITZ projects Ameer Abdullah to notch 2.8 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 75th percentile among running backs.
Ameer Abdullah has totaled a colossal 8.0 air yards per game this year: 99th percentile among running backs. (That may not sound like a lot, but most RBs have negative air yards because they are targeted behind the line of scrimmage).
The Las Vegas Raiders offensive line grades out as the 7th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.

Favors Under

The Las Vegas Raiders will have a new play-caller this season in head coach Josh McDaniels, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 2.2% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
The Raiders are a 6.5-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 125.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Los Angeles Rams pass defense has allowed the 5th-lowest Completion% in football (74.3%) to RBs this year (74.3%).
The Los Angeles Rams defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing QBs just 2.37 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 4th-best in football since the start of last season.