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Amari Cooper

Amari Cooper Receptions
Player Prop Week 20

Buffalo Bills vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Amari Cooper Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-198/+150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -156 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -198.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 35.3 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 3rd-most in football.
  • As it relates to pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the Bills profiles as the 8th-best in football this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Bills to call the fewest total plays among all teams this week with 62.9 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • The Buffalo Bills have called the fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 55.5 plays per game.
  • The leading projections forecast Amari Cooper to be a much smaller piece of his offense's passing attack this week (11.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (19.2% in games he has played).
  • Amari Cooper's 3.1 adjusted receptions per game this year marks a material decline in his receiving ability over last year's 4.8 mark.
  • Amari Cooper's ball-catching skills have declined this season, with his Adjusted Catch% shrinking from 59.0% to 52.2%.

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