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Amari Cooper

Amari Cooper Receptions
Player Prop Week 19

Buffalo Bills vs Denver Broncos

Amari Cooper Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+125/-164).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +141 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect this game to have the smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 132.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Broncos defense has been something of pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the NFL (36.6 per game) this year.

The Buffalo Bills offensive line profiles as the 7th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a strong influence on all passing game stats across the board.

This year, the poor Broncos pass defense has been torched for a staggering 67.5% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing WRs: the 9th-worst rate in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme running game script is implied by the Bills being a big 7.5-point favorite this week.

Our trusted projections expect the Buffalo Bills to be the 3rd-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 53.9% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The lowest number of plays in football have been called by the Buffalo Bills this year (only 54.9 per game on average).

The leading projections forecast Amari Cooper to be a much smaller piece of his team's air attack in this game (13.7% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (19.7% in games he has played).

Amari Cooper's 3.3 adjusted receptions per game this year reflects an impressive regression in his pass-catching ability over last year's 4.8 mark.

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