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Amari Cooper

Amari Cooper Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Cleveland Browns vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Amari Cooper Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Cleveland Browns have called the 4th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 65.0 plays per game.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.0 pass attempts per game against the New England Patriots defense this year: 9th-most in the NFL.
  • THE BLITZ projects Amari Cooper to total 7.7 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking in the 84th percentile among wideouts.
  • Amari Cooper's 69.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially better this year than it was last year at 47.0.
  • The Cleveland Browns offensive line grades out as the 2nd-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong effect on all passing game stats across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Browns are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns to be the 2nd-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 49.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The weather report calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
  • The New England Patriots pass defense has yielded the 10th-lowest Completion% in the league (63.8%) to wide receivers this year (63.8%).

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