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Amari Cooper

Amari Cooper Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Detroit Lions vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Amari Cooper Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 50.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 45.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 50.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Bills as the 6th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 61.4% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 36.9 pass attempts per game against the Detroit Lions defense this year: 6th-most in football.
  • When talking about pocket protection (and the positive impact it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Buffalo Bills grades out as the 9th-best in football this year.
  • This year, the feeble Detroit Lions defense has conceded a staggering 173.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing wideouts: the 3rd-worst in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Bills are expected by the predictive model to run just 61.9 plays on offense in this contest: the fewest on the slate this week.
  • The 3rd-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Buffalo Bills this year (only 53.8 per game on average).
  • The predictive model expects Amari Cooper to be a much smaller part of his team's passing game in this week's game (18.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (23.0% in games he has played).
  • Amari Cooper has accrued far fewer air yards this season (90.0 per game) than he did last season (121.0 per game).
  • Amari Cooper has compiled a lot fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (46.0) this season than he did last season (74.0).

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