My Account Log Out
 
 
Alvin Kamara

Alvin Kamara Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 5

New Orleans Saints vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Alvin Kamara Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+125/-132).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -128 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -132.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 62.9% rate of throwing the ball in the red zone (adjusted for context) this year, the 4th-most pass-heavy team in the league in these situations has been the New Orleans Saints.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by the predictive model to see 139.7 offensive plays run: the most out of all the games this week.
  • The highest number of plays in the league have been run by the New Orleans Saints this year (a whopping 64.8 per game on average).
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 42.8 pass attempts per game against the Giants defense this year: 3rd-most in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Saints to pass on 55.3% of their opportunities: the 8th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • Among all RBs, Alvin Kamara ranks in the 78th percentile for red zone rush attempts this year, comprising 43.8% of the usage in his offense's rushing attack near the end zone.
  • Alvin Kamara's 16.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially worse this season than it was last season at 34.0.
  • The receiving touchdown field reads "0" on Alvin Kamara's box scores this year.
  • This year, the tough New York Giants defense has given up a mere 0.00 passing TDs per game to opposing RBs: the smallest rate in football.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™