|
This game's spread implies a passing game script for the Saints, who are -5-point underdogs.With a 59.2% rate of throwing the ball near the end zone (in a neutral context) this year, the 7th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL in these situations has been the New Orleans Saints.Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Saints are forecasted by the predictive model to run 66.5 offensive plays in this contest: the 5th-highest number among all teams this week.With an elite 13.9% Red Zone Target Rate (90th percentile) this year, Alvin Kamara stands among the pass-catching running backs with the highest volume near the end zone in the NFL.Alvin Kamara has totaled a whopping 5.0 air yards per game this year: 93rd percentile when it comes to running backs. (This may not seem like very many, but most RBs have negative air yards given that they are usually targeted behind the line of scrimmage).
|