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Alvin Kamara

Alvin Kamara Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Los Angeles Rams vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Alvin Kamara Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 40.5 (+100/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 35.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 40.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is anticipated by the predictive model to have 141.0 offensive plays run: the most on the slate this week.
  • The 5th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Saints this year (a colossal 60.0 per game on average).
  • In this week's contest, Alvin Kamara is predicted by the predictive model to find himself in the 80th percentile when it comes to running backs with 14.7 carries.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's spread suggests an extreme throwing game script for the Saints, who are massive -14-point underdogs.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Saints as the 8th-least run-focused offense among all teams this week with a 39.0% run rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being projected in this game) usually mean better passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher pass volume, and lower ground volume.
  • After making up 63.9% of his offense's rushing play calls last season, Alvin Kamara has played a smaller part in the running game this season, currently taking on only 51.6%.
  • Alvin Kamara's 37.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season reflects a noteable regression in his running ability over last season's 65.0 figure.

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