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Alvin Kamara

Alvin Kamara Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 6

New Orleans Saints vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Alvin Kamara Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 36.5 (+107/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 39.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 36.5 @ -111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is forecasted by our trusted projection set to see 136.5 plays on offense run: the highest number on the slate this week.
  • The Saints have run the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a staggering 63.6 plays per game.
  • The New England defensive ends project as the worst collection of DEs in the league this year in regard to stopping the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's spread indicates a passing game script for the Saints, who are -3.5-point underdogs.
  • Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the New Orleans Saints to run on 41.8% of their plays: the 9th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may go down.
  • The projections expect Alvin Kamara to be a less important option in his offense's running game in this week's game (39.3% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (51.9% in games he has played).
  • Alvin Kamara's 36.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year marks a material decline in his running proficiency over last year's 65.0 rate.

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