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Alvin Kamara Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Carolina Panthers vs New Orleans Saints

Alvin Kamara Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (-100/-129).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 34.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 39.5 @ -100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Saints to be the 8th-most run-centric team on the slate this week with a 45.7% run rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Saints are forecasted by the predictive model to run 66.5 offensive plays in this contest: the 5th-highest number among all teams this week.

The weather report calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.

In this week's contest, Alvin Kamara is expected by the projections to find himself in the 85th percentile among RBs with 15.7 carries.

The Panthers linebackers profile as the 2nd-worst unit in football this year with their run defense.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's spread implies a passing game script for the Saints, who are -5-point underdogs.

After making up 63.9% of his offense's rush attempts last year, Alvin Kamara has been called on less the rushing attack this year, now accounting for just 51.5%.

Alvin Kamara's 31.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season illustrates a significant decrease in his rushing talent over last season's 65.0 mark.

Alvin Kamara's ground efficiency has worsened this season, accumulating a mere 3.21 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a 4.00 rate last season.

With a terrible rate of 2.58 yards after contact (22nd percentile) this year, Alvin Kamara rates as one of the worst RBs in the NFL.

More Alvin Kamara Player Props

Alvin Kamara Rushing YardsPlayer Prop Week 10

Carolina Panthers vs New Orleans Saints

Alvin Kamara Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 10