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Alvin Kamara

Alvin Kamara Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 15

New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Alvin Kamara Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 64.5 (+109/-141).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 51.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 64.5 @ +109.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Saints are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects Alvin Kamara to accumulate 16.0 rush attempts in this game, on average, ranking in the 86th percentile among running backs.
  • Alvin Kamara has received 56.7% of his team's rush attempts this year, placing him in the 89th percentile among running backs.
  • Opposing offenses have run for the 8th-most yards in the league (134 per game) vs. the Atlanta Falcons defense this year.
  • The Atlanta Falcons safeties rank as the 24th-worst safety corps in the NFL this year when it comes to defending the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Saints to call the 5th-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.6 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The New Orleans Saints have called the 9th-least plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 55.3 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Alvin Kamara has rushed for many fewer yards per game (49.0) this season than he did last season (67.0).
  • Alvin Kamara's ground efficiency (3.77 yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the NFL this year (21st percentile among RBs).

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