Alvin Kamara Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Alvin Kamara

NFL · Player Props

Alvin Kamara

RB · New Orleans Saints

Rushing Yards

New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 19, 2022 12:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Alvin Kamara Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 64.5 (+109/-141).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 51.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 64.5 @ +109.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Saints are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects Alvin Kamara to accumulate 16.0 rush attempts in this game, on average, ranking in the 86th percentile among running backs.
Alvin Kamara has received 56.7% of his team's rush attempts this year, placing him in the 89th percentile among running backs.
Opposing offenses have run for the 8th-most yards in the league (134 per game) vs. the Atlanta Falcons defense this year.
The Atlanta Falcons safeties rank as the 24th-worst safety corps in the NFL this year when it comes to defending the run.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Saints to call the 5th-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.6 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New Orleans Saints have called the 9th-least plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 55.3 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
Alvin Kamara has rushed for many fewer yards per game (49.0) this season than he did last season (67.0).
Alvin Kamara's ground efficiency (3.77 yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the NFL this year (21st percentile among RBs).

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