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Alvin Kamara Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Chicago Bears vs New Orleans Saints

Alvin Kamara Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+100/-128).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -128.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Saints are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is forecasted by the projections to see 140.1 plays on offense run: the most on the slate this week.

The New Orleans Saints have run the 4th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 61.2 plays per game.

This week, Alvin Kamara is expected by the projection model to place in the 94th percentile among RBs with 4.9 targets.

Alvin Kamara's 85.0% Adjusted Catch Rate this season marks a remarkable growth in his pass-catching ability over last season's 76.6% rate.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Saints to pass on 53.6% of their downs: the 6th-lowest rate among all teams this week.

The weather report calls for 21-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.

Opposing QBs teams have been disinclined to rely on the passing game too much against the Chicago Bears, totaling the 2nd-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 28.2 per game) this year.

Alvin Kamara's 21.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive usage) has been substantially worse this year than it was last year at 34.0.

Alvin Kamara's 3.2 adjusted catches per game this year indicates a material regression in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 4.8 mark.

More Alvin Kamara Player Props

Alvin Kamara ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 7

Chicago Bears vs New Orleans Saints

Alvin Kamara Receptions
Player Prop Week 7