My Account Log Out
 
 
Alvin Kamara

Alvin Kamara Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

New Orleans Saints vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Alvin Kamara Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+120/-160).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -160.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by the predictive model to see 139.7 offensive plays run: the most out of all the games this week.
  • The highest number of plays in the league have been run by the New Orleans Saints this year (a whopping 64.8 per game on average).
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 42.8 pass attempts per game against the Giants defense this year: 3rd-most in the NFL.
  • In this week's contest, Alvin Kamara is forecasted by the model to finish in the 95th percentile when it comes to RBs with 4.8 targets.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Saints to pass on 55.3% of their opportunities: the 8th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • Alvin Kamara's 16.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially worse this season than it was last season at 34.0.
  • Alvin Kamara's 2.6 adjusted receptions per game this year illustrates a noteworthy reduction in his pass-catching skills over last year's 4.8 rate.
  • The New York Giants linebackers profile as the 2nd-best collection of LBs in the league this year with their pass rush.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™