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Alvin Kamara

Alvin Kamara Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Los Angeles Rams vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Alvin Kamara Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-113/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's spread suggests an extreme throwing game script for the Saints, who are massive -14-point underdogs.
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the New Orleans Saints to pass on 61.0% of their chances: the 8th-highest rate among all teams this week.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is anticipated by the predictive model to have 141.0 offensive plays run: the most on the slate this week.
  • The 5th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Saints this year (a colossal 60.0 per game on average).
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being projected in this game) usually mean better passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher pass volume, and lower ground volume.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Alvin Kamara's 18.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive usage) has been significantly lower this season than it was last season at 34.0.
  • Alvin Kamara has accrued quite a few less adjusted receiving yards per game (17.0) this season than he did last season (35.0).
  • Alvin Kamara's ability to generate extra yardage has worsened this year, notching just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 7.90 rate last year.
  • This year, the fierce Los Angeles Rams defense has allowed a feeble 24.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing running backs: the 6th-best in the NFL.
  • This year, the imposing Los Angeles Rams defense has allowed the 7th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing RBs: a puny 4.8 yards.

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